The College Football Ledger

Ranked on results.

Résumé and performance. Who you beat, who beat you, and how convincingly. Nothing else counts.

The Ledger Top 25

Where teams stand today: games already played, with each opponent valued at its projected final record. For where they're likely to finish, see the projected final Top 25. Select any team to see why the Ledger and the committee see it differently.

+5 Ledger has them 5 spots higher(5) Ledger has them 5 spots lowerArrows show movement since last week

    Where we part ways

    The disagreements

    Each line runs from a team's committee rank to its Ledger rank. Green lines rise, red lines fall. Tap a line to read why.

    Ledger likes them more credit

    Ledger likes them less debit

    If the season ended today · results so far

    The playoff field

    Games that move the Ledger

    We play out the rest of the season 10,000 times. These are the games this week whose results swing playoff chances the most.

    Forecast · end of the regular season

    Projected final Top 25

    Where each team is likely to finish once every remaining game is played. The bar shows the likely range of finishing spots; the dot is the projection. The Top 25 above is where teams stand today.

      Forecast through the regular season

      The race for twelve

      A forecast that includes the games still to play: each team's chance of being in the Ledger's playoff field when the regular season ends, with its likely final rank. The gold line marks the bubble.

      #TeamChance to make the Ledger's fieldOdds
      Take the test

      Blind résumé

      Names hidden. Pick the better résumé, then see who it is and where the committee and the Ledger put them. Each pair is one the two rankings disagree on.

      The conference check

      Who gets in the Top 25

      The Ledger never looks at conference labels. Here's where its Top 25 lands anyway, next to the committee's.

      LedgerCommittee
      Before you ask

      Questions and objections

      The questions serious fans ask first, answered with this week's numbers.

      Track record